The age-old adage is that a week can be long time in football. Forget a week. Five minutes can be a long time in football. Just ask Simon Grayson and his Blackpool team.
Last week with forty minutes played in their away fixture at Coventry City, ‘Pool were 2-0 up and cruising towards the top of the League One table. They went on to concede two in the last five minutes of the first half, lose the match and yesterday followed up that defeat with a 3-0 reverse at home to MK Dons.
In the space of a week and two results, Blackpool have gone from pace-setters to a team in disarray, if the views of some of the fans are to be believed.
So where has it all fallen apart? Or has it in fact never been quite as put-together as it was first thought?
Although they were beaten 3-0 on Saturday, the Seasiders were the dominant force for large parts of the game having 63% of the possession and registering 18 shots to the visitors’ 11. Cynics will no doubt point out that the only stat that matters is the one in which the Seasiders drew a blank, and this of course is a valid point.
But if comparisons are drawn with ‘Pool’s 2-0 opening day win over Bristol Rovers, there is a case to suggest that Simon Grayson’s team performed to a similar if not better level against MK Dons. The difference on Saturday was that Pool did not capitalise on their possession and the chances they created; and that when they conceded chances they were punished by the opposition.
Bristol Rovers on the opening day actually had more possession (57%) and registered more shots on goal than MK Dons did (15 to 11). The difference, an observer of both games could argue, was simply that the Gas squandered the early opportunity they had to take the lead at Bloomfield Road, whereas the Dons did not.
Rovers struck the post with an early shot on the opening day before ‘Pool had established themselves in the game, while MK Dons profited from poor home defending at a corner and took the lead after five minutes.
Had the Dons also wasted their early opportunity as Bristol Rovers had done on the opening day, there is a strong case to say that the result could have been different.
Blackpool, though shaken by the goal, gradually regained the initiative and an equaliser looked well within their reach before an individual error by Curtis Tilt put the game out of sight.
It is the second time in two home matches Tilt has had his pocket picked and although he is undoubtedly one of the Tangerines’ most talented footballers, this is something he needs to eradicate from his game, if he is either to progress with Blackpool or impress the higher-level suitors rumoured to be interested in him.
The stands at Bloomfield were a sea of frustration and descent after the second goal and when the third went in, one could have been forgiven for thinking another boycott had begun. Naturally, every supporter wants to see their team win, but in terms of general play were ‘Pool really that much worse than they were against Bristol Rovers? The stats indicate they weren’t. Have they in fact been that much better all season?
A deeper analysis of the games they have won so far in the league seems to suggest not. Blackpool beat Bristol Rovers in a game in which they ceded possession and chances to wasteful opposition; they beat Southend, who are currently kept off the bottom of the table by virtue of Bolton Wanderers’ points deduction; and Oxford United, who outplayed them for long periods.
My conclusion is that although Saturday’s result was (there’s no getting away from it) a woeful one, the performance was not too dissimilar to those which ‘Pool have turned out so far this season. Individual errors warped the score line and perhaps drew attention to something that a kind early run of fixtures (four of ‘Pool’s seven league matches have been against teams currently occupying the bottom half of the table) had thus far masked.
Blackpool, although equipped with a deeper and more talented squad this season, are yet to find a way of playing that harnesses the best of the ability at their disposal.
This is Simon Grayson’s challenge and it is up to him to try and solve the conundrum and come up with a winning formula.
Grayson faced a similar challenge during his first spell at the club, at the start of the 2006/07 promotion season with a lot of new players coming in after the season started. ‘Pool also got off to a far worse start that year as well, so there is no need for us to panic just yet!
As I too ponder what Blackpool’s winning formula might look like I decided to put my bald cap on and pretend to be Mr Grayson. Working under the assumption that Nathan Delfouneso is likely to be side-lined for the next few games, here are three of the formations and elevens I came up with:
My possible Blackpool XIs
(3-4-1-2) Alnwick; Turton, Heneghan, Tilt; Feeney, Spearing, Thompson, Husband; Kaikai; Hardie, Gnanduillet.
(4-2-2-2) Alnwick; Turton, Heneghan, Tilt, Husband; Thompson, Spearing; Feeney, Kaikai; Gnanduillet, Hardie.
(4-3-3) Alnwick; Turton, Heneghan, Tilt, Husband; Thompson, Spearing, Guy; Feeney, Nuttall, Kaikai.